This week (April 14-18, 2025), manufacturers will mainly execute preliminary contracts, and the adhesive short fiber market will be organized and operated, with prices remaining stable. The upstream raw material market is not performing well, while the downstream market is holding onto rigid demand procurement in multiple dimensions. The support from both the cost and demand sides is weak, and the release of newly signed orders in the market is limited. Operators mainly execute preliminary contracts, and the market price of adhesive short fibers is stable and organized.
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of April 18, 2025, the average market price of viscose staple fiber is 13480 yuan/ton, which is the same as the same period last week.
In terms of cost: The market price of raw material dissolution slurry has not fluctuated much this week, while the prices of auxiliary liquid alkali and sulfuric acid markets have shown a downward trend. The market price of raw materials continues to be weak, and the average production cost of adhesive short fibers has decreased.
Supply and demand: The operating rate of the adhesive short fiber industry remained at around 77.16% this week, and production continued to decrease compared to last week. During the week, the operating load of some adhesive short fiber facilities in Shandong region decreased, and the overall supply of the industry continued to decline. The operating rate of downstream cotton yarn industry has slightly decreased, and prices continue to decline. The demand in the terminal market is still light, and there is a certain degree of risk aversion in the downstream market. The replenishment demand is limited, and the main consumption of raw material inventory is high. The demand side has not shown significant improvement, and downstream enterprises have poor delivery speed during the week. The overall inventory of the adhesive short fiber market still shows an increasing trend.
Future forecast
On the raw material side, the main material dissolution slurry market may remain weak and stagnant, while the auxiliary material liquid alkali and sulfuric acid markets may remain stable with small fluctuations. Therefore, it is expected that the market price of adhesive short fiber raw materials will not change much next week, and the cost support will be relatively weak and stable.
Supply and demand side: There is currently no clear recovery time for the pre parking maintenance equipment, and the industry supply may not fluctuate significantly; There is currently no sign of improvement in demand in the terminal market, and downstream yarn companies may mainly execute preliminary orders, with limited demand for raw material replenishment. Therefore, it is expected that the driving force from the demand side of the adhesive short fiber market will remain weak next week.
Overall, the main raw material dissolution slurry market may continue to maintain a stable trend, and downstream market demand is unlikely to improve. There is a strong wait-and-see atmosphere in the market, and analysts from Business Society predict that the domestic adhesive short fiber market will consolidate next week, with prices expected to be around 13300-13500 yuan/ton.
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