Last week (February 10-16, 2025), the adhesive short fiber market was consolidating and operating, with prices fluctuating slightly. As of February 16th, the average market price of viscose staple fiber was 13720 yuan/ton, an increase of 60 yuan/ton or 0.44% compared to last week. The raw material main material dissolution slurry market is running steadily, while the auxiliary material liquid alkali market and sulfuric acid market are both showing an upward trend, and the price center of the cost side market is rising; From the supply side, the supply of adhesive short fiber industry slightly decreased during the week, and the inventory levels of various manufacturers were at a low level. The favorable support from the supply side still exists; Downstream yarn manufacturers are still in the stage of resuming work one after another, and various yarn companies still have a certain amount of raw material inventory. The enthusiasm for replenishment is not high, and there has been no significant improvement on the demand side.
Overall, the price center of the upstream raw material market has shifted upward, with good support on the cost side. There is currently no inventory pressure in the market, and supply side support still exists. However, the downstream market mainly executes early orders, with limited replenishment demand. The overall market speed is average, and the price of adhesive short fiber market remains stable with small fluctuations, with a slight increase in average price.
In terms of cost: This week, the market price of raw material dissolution slurry continued to remain stable, the auxiliary material liquid alkali market continued to rise, the sulfuric acid market price rebounded after falling, the focus of raw material market prices increased, and the average production cost of adhesive short fibers increased.
On the demand side: The operating rate of downstream cotton yarn market is gradually increasing, and prices are being pushed up locally. The demand in the terminal market has not improved, and downstream yarn factories have resumed work one after another, mainly consuming raw material inventory, resulting in mediocre performance on the demand side.
Future forecast
On the raw material side, the market for adhesive short fiber main material dissolution slurry and auxiliary material sulfuric acid market or consolidation are the main markets, and there is an expectation of a decline in the price of liquid alkali market. Therefore, it is expected that the market price center of adhesive short fiber raw materials will decline in the short term, and the cost support will weaken. Supply and demand side: Most of the devices in the adhesive short fiber market are operating stably, and there is little fluctuation in on-site supply; The downstream yarn market or consumption of raw material inventory is the main factor, and the demand side is closely following. It is difficult to find favorable support from the demand side, so it is expected that the driving force of the short-term adhesive short fiber market from the demand side will be weak. Overall, the main raw material dissolution slurry market may continue to maintain a stable trend, while the inventory level in the adhesive short fiber industry is not high. The downstream yarn market may still consume raw material inventory as the main source, and the trading activity in the market is average. Business analysis predicts that the domestic adhesive short fiber market for short fibers will not fluctuate much, with stability as the main factor, and prices are expected to be accepted at 13700-13850 yuan/ton.
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