This week (January 6-10, 2025), the price center of the upstream raw material market for viscose staple fiber remained stable, with low inventory levels in the market and continued support from both the cost and supply sides. However, downstream market procurement enthusiasm was not high, and cotton yarn enterprises had a certain degree of risk aversion. They held onto the demand side and continued to be light, with various viscose staple fiber manufacturers lowering their quotes to varying degrees, resulting in a narrow decline in actual market transaction prices.
According to the Commodity Market Analysis System of Shengyi Society, as of January 10th, the average market price of viscose staple fiber was 13680 yuan/ton, a decrease of 140 yuan/ton from the same period last week, with a weekly decline of 1.01%.
In terms of cost: This week (January 6-10, 2025), the market price of raw material dissolution slurry continued to maintain a stable trend, the market price of auxiliary material liquid alkali rebounded and stopped falling, the market price of sulfuric acid slightly decreased, and the market price center of raw material remained roughly stable. The average production cost of adhesive short fiber did not change much. As of early January, the price of domestically produced dissolving pulp is around 7900 yuan/ton, the price of outer broad-leaved pulp is around 970 US dollars/ton, and the price of coniferous pulp is around 1070 US dollars/ton.
Supply inventory: The operating rate of the adhesive short fiber industry remained at around 87.03% this week, with a slight increase in production compared to last week. The start-up rate of various adhesive short fiber manufacturers’ equipment did not fluctuate significantly during the week, and the on-site supply remained stable; There is currently no pressure on the inventory level on site, but the downstream delivery speed has slowed down, and the overall inventory level on site is showing an increasing trend.
On the demand side: The downstream cotton yarn market replenishes according to demand, and prices remain stable. The market is in the traditional off-season of demand, coupled with the approaching Spring Festival holiday, downstream manufacturers have limited demand for purchasing, and multidimensional demand is holding on to signing orders. Some manufacturers’ orders can be maintained until the end of February, and the demand side performance is weak.
Future forecast
The market for dissolving pulp, the main raw material of viscose staple fiber, may not change much, and the cost side support is stable. Downstream manufacturers have plans to reduce production and have holidays near the Spring Festival. The actual transactions on site are limited, and the demand for replenishment is limited. Therefore, it is difficult for the demand side of the viscose staple fiber market to improve next week. Business analysts predict that the domestic adhesive short fiber market will maintain stable operation in the short term.
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