The cost support is still there, and there is limited room for PTA price decline

According to the price monitoring of the business agency, the domestic PTA spot market continued to fall slightly today (October 13). The average market price was 5367 yuan / ton, down 1.57% from the previous day, with a year-on-year increase of 59.74%. In the futures market, the main force 2201 closed at 5392, down 110, or 2%. In terms of devices, Sichuan energy invested 1 million tons of PTA device, which was discharged on October 12. In the process of increasing the load, the current operating rate of PTA industry is more than 62%, and the spot supply has increased.

In the raw material market, at present, the U.S. crude oil inventory is low and the crude oil price fluctuates at a high level, which still has a certain support for PTA. On the demand side, the overall market atmosphere was general. The downstream polyester industry started 77.34%, slightly lower than the previous trading day, and the factory’s enthusiasm for PTA spot procurement decreased. In terms of price, there is a strong wait-and-see mood in the polyester Market in Jiangsu and Zhejiang today. Most mainstream polyester factories in Jiangsu and Zhejiang have temporarily stabilized their quotation, and some have increased by 50-100 yuan / ton.

Business analysts believe that next, during the restart of some large PTA devices, the superposition of downstream demand follow-up is limited, or the action force on price is limited. However, the upstream cost support is OK, and the falling space is also limited. It is expected that the short-term PTA will remain high and volatile.

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